Skip Nav

The places that will decide the 2018 midterm elections

From Our Partners

❶Democrats could show some strength in Florida, where one Republican-held seat is already ranked as lean Democrat by CNN. They need to gain 23 seats to win the House majority.

Content by LendingTree

Navigation menu
‘Their voters are willing to crawl across broken glass’

In May, on a trip to Texas for a Houston fundraiser targeting the midterms, he also held a fundraising dinner in Dallas for the campaign. Democrats "need to flip 23 seats to capture the speaker's gavel", USA Today put it. The President was addressing the economy , the border wall , the "trade war" , "don't believe anything" and the space force in the rallies, per the report. In late August , controversy surfaced about the degree of campaigning being done on what were termed "official" visits around the country.

One report said, traditionally, partisan attacks and endorsements were kept out of official events but that President Trump was not observing that norm. The individuals identified 35 events by Cabinet and senior staff members "with or affecting House districts in August already Rod Blum of Iowa and Rep. Mike Bost of Illinois. The White House responded to the report: From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia.

Democratic incumbent eligible for reelection. Term-limited or retiring Democrat. Republican incumbent eligible for reelection. Term-limited or retiring Republican. Independent incumbent eligible for reelection. United States Senate elections, United States House of Representatives elections, United States gubernatorial elections, Political party strength in U. Russian interference in the United States elections. The New York Times. National Conference of State Legislatures. Strong fundraising shifts several House races in Democrats' favor.

The third are the "blue-collar blues": More distantly, the Democrats are also eyeing a few Republican-held blue-collar seats in purple and Republican-leaning states. But control of the House will likely turn on how the battle between the parties turns in the red pockets, Romneyland and the blue-collar blues. The red pockets will likely be the most reliable source of gains for Democrats because they compound two sources of Republican vulnerability: They are white-collar districts in areas with large numbers of Democrats, who appear motivated to turn out at higher-than-usual levels next fall.

The big question is how far Democrats can reach into places where only one of those advantages is present: Russia targeting elections. Russia targeting elections This battlefield reflects the long-term trends that have seen Democrats demonstrate increasing strength up and down the ballot in diverse, heavily college-educated, major metropolitan areas -- even in Republican-leaning states. In parallel, Republicans have established dominant control over preponderantly white non-metro and blue-collar areas, even in otherwise Democratic-leaning states.

All of these trends have accelerated under Trump. Amid improving attitudes toward the Republican tax bill, several recent polls have shown a small but measurable uptick in President Trump's job approval rating and a narrowing into the mid-single digits of the previously double-digit advantage Democrats have held in the "generic" ballot test of preferences for But even with those shifts, polls still consistently find a deeply polarized electorate.

Trump and the GOP retain solid support among white men without college degrees, if slightly less than they attracted in But they are facing intense resistance from younger and non-white voters -- especially African-Americans -- and much lower numbers than usual among college-educated whites, especially, but not exclusively, women.

Republicans are suddenly more optimistic about the midterms. White women without a college education, whose support was critical to Trump's victory, loom as a wild card: Polls find they have cooled on him, but Democrats still face many obstacles with them.

These diverging demographic attitudes shape the geography of the battlefield. The clearest opportunity for Democrats is the relatively few remaining Republican-held districts in blue metro areas with large populations of college-educated whites, and in many cases substantial minority and youth populations as well.

These are places crowded with voters who tilt toward liberal positions on social issues and recoil from Trump's volatile persona, particularly the way he talks about race. The renewed visibility of gun control issues after the horrific Parkland, Florida, massacre could provide Democrats another lever in these districts, since the Republicans in them have almost universally voted with the National Rifle Association to loosen gun regulations in recent years.

These "red pockets" include the four seats Republicans control in Orange County -- the districts held by Mimi Walters and Dana Rohrabacher and the open seats that will be vacated by Darrell Issa and Ed Royce -- as well as their sole remaining seat in Los Angeles County, held by Steve Knight.

The race to succeed Gov. John Kasich will be an important race to watch, as former Obama Consumer Financial Protection Bureau head Richard Cordray seeks to bring his party back into the governor's mansion, possibly with the help of populist Sen.

Sherrod Brown who is up for re-election in the Buckeye State. This race is rated as likely Republican. GOP is 'losing the future' by 'turning off millennials'. Democrat Joe Manchin will face a tough re-election fight for this Senate seat. Trump beat Clinton by over 40 points here. Manchin -- a former two-term governor -- hopes his moderate views and history with the state will put him over the top, as his state trends further right.

The GOP primary is competitive, with Rep. Mike Pence targets vulnerable Democratic Sen. Don Bacon was the only Republican to beat a Democratic incumbent in Democrats have this Omaha-based seat in their sights in their quest to take back the majority in the House. This seat is rated as a toss-up by CNN. Deb Fischer is up for re-election. Bob Casey could face a tough re-election if Republicans raise enough money and run a strong campaign in the commonwealth.

CNN currently rates seven of the 18 House seats as key races to watch. New districts that were handed down by the state Supreme Court after ruling the current lines were gerrymandered in favor of the GOP could put more seats in play come the fall.

Barletta announces Senate campaign. Republicans are strongly favored to hold all four congressional seats in Arkansas, but Little Rock-based Rep. French Hill faces a solid Democratic challenger in state Rep. CNN rates it as likely Republican. Asa Hutchinson is up for re-election as well and is widely seen as a safe bet for Republicans too. Strong fundraising shifts several House races in Democrats' favor.

If Democrats want to pick up seats in Georgia, they may look at the 6th and 7th districts. Karen Handel won a tough battle to succeed former Health and Human Services Secretary Tom Price in , despite a major cash influx for Democrat Jon Ossoff, which will make it difficult for them to win. But if turns into a wave for Democrats, Handel and Rep.

Rob Woodall could become vulnerable. CNN currently rates both races as likely Republican. The open governor seat may influence the race, should it become competitive, depending on the outcome of the primaries, in which both parties may move farther from the center than their respective party leaders in the Peach State. Despite a surprise victory from Democrat Doug Jones in the special election for the Senate last year, no Alabama seat is seen as competitive this year for either party, including Republican Gov.

Kay Ivey as she seeks her first full term. Eight of the nine House seats rated as competitive by CNN are currently held by Republicans, some of which are in districts Clinton won in If Democrats are going to take back the House, they will need and may get a few of these to do it.

While the Senate seat is expected to stay in Democratic hands, the primary and general election against Sen. Dianne Feinstein could turn competitive, as she will likely face a more progressive Democrat in the fall due to the state's jungle primary laws.

California has a competitive governor's race to replace outgoing Gov. Jerry Brown, with top contenders in Lt. Rod Blum's race is rated as a toss-up. Both of these districts voted for President Barack Obama in and before flipping to Trump in Thad Cochran's upcoming retirement -- announced in early March -- sets up a special US Senate election in Mississippi, meaning both of the state's Senate seats will be on the ballot come November.

Roger Wicker is up for re-election and is facing a primary challenge from state Sen. Chris McDaniel -- who nearly knocked off Cochran in a high-profile primary race in Mississippi's House races are not seen as competitive this year.

Jon Tester will face voters for the third time , but this year he's coming on the heels of Trump's point win in Big Sky Country. Republicans see this seat as a perfect opportunity for a flip, but party members have yet to coalesce around one candidate. Tester's significant money advantage gives him a slight edge, as CNN rates this race lean Democrat.

Greg Gianforte's race is rated as likely Republican at the beginning of The two open seats left by retiring GOP Reps. Trump's unpopularity in the Garden State could curtail the GOP's attempts to rebuild after losing the governor's mansion last year.

Steve Pearce is running for governor, which leaves a slight opening for Democrats in this southern New Mexico district. Pearce will have a tough race to succeed Republican Gov. Susana Martinez, whose approval ratings have fallen as she ends her second term. Martin Heinrich is up for re-election. Democrats would like to take back the last Republican-held seat in Maine's 2nd District, but that could prove tougher than expected.

The district's support of Trump giving him an electoral vote in and Rep. Bruce Poliquin's strong cash advantage will be tough to beat in this northern Maine seat. CNN currently rates the race as likely Republican, though the governor's race could provide Democrats a place to flip a state executive seat from red to blue. Angus King is up for re-election. Democrat Heidi Heitkamp faces a tough re-election for her Senate seat, and she's raising the money for a fight. Kevin Cramer said in January that he would not run for the seat before reversing course and announcing his candidacy in mid-February.

Trump won the state by 36 points, and Republicans are determined to beat Heitkamp. CNN initially rated this race as lean Democrat, but with Cramer's candidacy, it is now a toss-up. Looking to capitalize on Clinton's win and the state's trend toward Democrats, Nevada will be home to some of the country's toughest competitions this year for the House, the Senate and the Governor's Mansion. Jacky Rosen is challenging Republican Sen.

Main Topics

Privacy Policy

Congressional Elections and Midterm Elections Congressional elections affect your state's representation in Congress. Congress is the legislative branch of the federal government that includes the House of Representatives and the Senate.

Privacy FAQs

Mar 06,  · A number of special elections are included. Here's a look at where things stand and what's coming up in each of the midterm primaries. A number of special elections are included.

About Our Ads

The latest news, opinion and analysis on the US midterm elections. Editorial: Elections this week confirm that the Republicans face a struggle to stay in control of Congress in November. Feb 20,  · Red pockets. Romneyland. Blue-collar blues. Those labels describe the groups of seats in the House of Representatives that will likely determine control of the chamber in November's midterm election.

Cookie Info

WASHINGTON — In every midterm election since the Civil War, the president's party has lost, on average, 32 seats in the House and two in the Senate. In next year's battles, Democrats need only 24 seats to flip the House and two to take the Senate. ANAHEIM, Calif. – Barack Obama’s plunge into the midterm elections on Saturday served its central purpose: For Democrats in critical House races – many of them new to politics – appearing.